Betting on a Ballon d'Or winner
The main individual award for any soccer player is
The main individual award for any soccer player is the Golden Ball. The Golden Ball is recognized by the football community that the player who has made the greatest contribution to soccer and was the best in the last season.
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The Golden Ball is challenging to get because the competition in soccer is very high. Even soccer geniuses like German Franz Beckenbauer and Brazilian Ronaldo have only received the Golden Ball twice. Many famous soccer players failed to get the Golden Ball, even though they deserved it with their play, but, as we said, the competition is too high. Among these players are the Frenchman Thierry Henry, the Italians Paolo Maldini and Gianluigi Buffon, the Spaniards Andreas Iniesta and Raul, and the Englishmen Frank Lampard, Ryan Giggs, Paul Scholes, and David Beckham. The list could go on for a very long time. There are many worthy soccer players, but the award is just one.
It would be surprising if bookmakers did not take bets on an event as big as the Golden Ball. Betting begins a year before the award when it's as clear as mud which players will be among the preliminary candidates, let alone the top three contenders for the Ballon d'Or.
The betting amounts on the winner of the Golden Ball are huge, so bookmakers need to analyze this betting market as thoroughly as possible to avoid making mistakes. They do, which is why the bookmakers' favorite (when the line closes) usually gets the award.
It happens that the Golden Ball is given unfairly to the wrong player who most deserves it. Over the last decade, at least three times the Ballon d'Or has not been given to the best player of the year. That was the case in 2006 when Cannavaro won the award, but Buffon and Ronaldinho performed better than him during the season. In 2010, the experts undeservedly gave the Ballon d'Or to Messi, although Sneijder, Xavi, and Iniesta had a much better season. 2012 was also a controversial year. Messi won another award, but here everything spoke in favor of Iniesta.
Bookmakers' odds on the Ballon d'Or winner
Nevertheless, bookmakers are sensitive to the sympathies of players, national team coaches, and journalists. They have almost no mistakes in the line of betting on this market, but you can play and win on the other.
For example, before the 2016 European Championship, the main contender for the award was Lionel Messi, on whom bookmakers gave odds of 2.00. On Cristiano Ronaldo, in turn, was 2.25. Everything changed after the Portuguese team won the European Championship. The odds on Cristiano's win plummeted to 1.15, while Messi's jumped to 6.00. If you analyze Portugal's chances of winning the tournament well and predict its victory, you would expect the odds on Cristiano to drop significantly. By then, Messi had already missed the opportunity to win something else significant in 2016, so the odds on Ronaldo were partly valueless.
Conclusion
Although bets on the Golden Ball winner are popular with punters, professional bettors treat them with a lot of skepticism. The long-term betting markets are not particularly well suited for regular play, and since the Ballon d'Or winner is usually known in advance, the odds on him are always severely undervalued. At the same time, no one canceled the risks, the quotes can change in a heartbeat, so it's not an easy task to bet on this parlay.
FAQ
Who does hold the record for the most Ballon d'Ors in history?
Lionel Messi has the most Ballon d'Ors in the history of football, he has 7 prestigious awards. Cristiano Ronaldo with 5 is breathing down his neck.
Is it challenging to win this award?
Yes, it’s a tough task to win this award. A football player should be a role model on and off the court, score more goals than his opponents, and contribute to his team’s victories.
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